US China Trade War Escalates: Tariffs Surge to 15.8% as Tensions Rise, Global Markets Brace for Economic Impact
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US China Trade War Escalates: Tariffs Surge to 15.8% as Tensions Rise, Global Markets Brace for Economic Impact
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President Trump signed an executive order earlier this month to hold the U.S. reciprocal tariff rate on Chinese imports at 10% through November 10, while negotiations continue. All tariffs imposed on China before April 2 remain in force, including Section 301 and Section 232 tariffs. Legal battles have complicated attempts to ramp up tariffs, with some IEEPA-based increases facing challenges in U.S. courts.
China responded aggressively, boosting retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods to 84% by April. However, after intense negotiations in Geneva, both sides agreed to lower tariffs by 115% from their peak, but maintain an additional 10% tariff until November. China suspended its initial 34% tariff for 90 days, but a 10% levy still applies. Both countries retained tariffs imposed prior to the recent round of escalation.
These moves on both sides have sent shockwaves through global markets. Retaliatory tariffs from China as well as new tariffs from Brazil and the EU could cut worldwide GDP by up to 1% in 2025, and China’s own growth forecast has been lowered to 4.4%. The result is a fragile bull market with volatility testing investor confidence and companies’ earnings resilience.
The trade war backdrop is influencing major business deals, such as Boeing’s landmark potential sale of hundreds of jets to China. Bloomberg reports this effort is tied directly to trade negotiations, with China resuming jet purchases after earlier suspensions linked to tariff disputes. President Trump’s 90-day pause on new tariffs until November has helped bring down some of the highest reciprocal tariffs—at one point reaching 145% against China and 125% against the U.S.—to more manageable levels, currently set at 30% for China and 10% for the U.S.
Adding another twist, the Trump administration authorized U.S. chip giant NVIDIA to sell certain advanced AI microchips to China in August, but with a catch: NVIDIA must remit 15% of revenue from eligible China sales to the U.S. government. Experts estimate this could funnel $2 billion in revenue, but critics warn the move could help China close the gap in the critical race for global tech and military dominance.
As trade talks and market reactions unfold, listeners should expect further developments and ongoing uncertainty. Thank you for tuning in to China Tariff News and Tracker—be sure to subscribe and keep up with the latest twists in global trade. This has been a quiet please production, for more check out quiet please dot ai.
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