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Trading Turbulence: Navigating Grain, Cattle, and Tariff Tensions

Trading Turbulence: Navigating Grain, Cattle, and Tariff Tensions

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Market volatility dominates ag news with extreme movements in cattle prices and continued downward pressure on grain markets. North Dakota and Midwest crops look beautiful despite some standing water, presenting both opportunity and storage challenges for the coming harvest.

• USDA report released today matched trade expectations, creating minimal market reaction
• Beautiful crop conditions observed across North Dakota and the Midwest, with some standing water concerns
• Cattle border with Mexico reopened briefly before closing again due to screwworm cases 300 miles south of border
• Potential 50% tariffs on Brazilian imports affecting cattle markets, potentially impacting imported beef cuts
• Tariff situations affecting multiple countries including India, South Korea, and Taiwan with August 1 implementation deadline
• "Big Beautiful Bill" includes tax benefits and farm program provisions normally found in Farm Bill
• A "skinny farm bill" may address remaining agricultural policy issues by September
• North Dakota facing grain storage challenges with state incentives and private companies working on solutions
• Despite farmers' reluctance, many will likely need to sell grain below cost of production


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