In this episode l am rejoined by Ankit Panda as we delve into the escalating tensions between India and Pakistan, particularly focusing on the recent military clashes and the implications of their nuclear doctrines.

Ankit provides insights into the current crisis, comparing it to past conflicts and discussing the role of the United States in de-escalation efforts. The conversation also touches on the influence of domestic politics, the evolving military capabilities of both nations, and the potential impact of China's military developments on the region.

Ankit Panda is Stanton Senior Fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Watch our talk on YouTube: https://youtu.be/P3xwmHg9g7I. Support the show on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit

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In this podcast, I was joined by Candace Rondeaux to discuss her new book, Putin's Sledgehammer, on the rise and fall of Russia’s Wagner Group, particularly the aftermath of its 2023 mutiny. Candace explores the historical origins of the Wagner Group, its ties to Russia's mafia, and its key role in Russia's global operations.

She delves into the evolution of the group under Prigozhin, highlighting its use in proxy wars and mercenary operations in Africa, Ukraine, and Syria. We also cover the power struggles between Putin and Prigozhin leading to the group's collapse and an examination of Wagner’s lingering influence on global security.

Candace Rondeaux is the Senior Director of Future Frontiers at New America. Check out her book, Putin's Sledgehammer here: https://amzn.to/4me0FMB

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In this conversation, Pyotr Kurzin and Mihaela Pappa discuss the evolving role of BRICS in the context of global politics, particularly in relation to US foreign policy under the Trump administration. They explore the implications of BRICS as a symbol of a multipolar world, its initiatives in development and health, and the challenges it faces in terms of internal dynamics and divergence among member countries. The discussion also touches on the potential for BRICS to influence global currency dynamics and its positioning in addressing universal challenges like climate change and sustainable development.

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

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In this conversation, I am rejoined by Dmitri Alperovitch to delve into the latest of the Ukraine War, focusing on the diplomatic engagements between the US and Russia, the strategic decisions made by Ukraine, and implications of Trump's foreign policy.

We discuss the limited leverage the US has in influencing both Russia and Ukraine, the challenges of negotiating peace, and the realities of a war of attrition. We touch on the role of NATO, European defence strategies, and the significance of mineral deals in the context of US support for Ukraine.

This episode is sponsored by Military Metals Corp (CSE: MILI, OTCQB: MILIF, FSE: QN90). Learn more: www.militarymetalscorp.com/investors.

Support the show: https://www.patreon.com/c/theglobalgambit/home

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In this episode, I react to and explain the implications of Trump's tariffs from both an economic and geopolitical perspective. I highlight the historical context of tariffs, their intended purpose, and the potential consequences for international relations and the US economy.

I also argue that while tariffs may seem beneficial in the short term, they could lead to significant long-term challenges, including supply chain disruptions, increased prices for consumers, and weakened alliances with traditional partners. The discussion emphasises the interconnectedness of economic policies and global power dynamics.

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

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Welcome to the Global Gambit 2025 - after some minor time off, we're back with more conversations and content, including more from me. This time starting with the 5 biggest geopolitical risks and themes in 2025!

This time Pyotr discusses the major geopolitical risks and themes that could shape 2025, including the implications of Donald Trump's return to power, the ongoing US-China strategic competition, the autocratic relations involving Russia and Iran, the rise of political violence and extremism, and the increasing risks associated with technology and AI. Each of these themes is explored in depth, highlighting the interconnectedness of global events and the potential consequences for international stability.

Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin

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In this conversation, Pyotr is joined by (ret) Colonel Bob Hamilton and now Head of Eurasia Research at FPRI to discuss the current situation in Ukraine, focusing on Zelensky's victory plan, public sentiment regarding the war, military strategies, and the implications of foreign support.

We explore the complexities of defining victory, the role of NATO, and the technological adaptations in warfare. The discussion also touches on the involvement of North Korea and China, as well as the complacency of European nations in responding to the threat posed by Russia.

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Pyotr is joined by the esteemed Sir Lawrence Freedman, Emeritus Professor of War Studies, King's College London. We focus on the war in Ukraine and the conditions for a negotiated settlement and the challenges in reaching any such agreement. We debate motivations behind Putin's actions and the implications for the use of military force in international relations including role of NATO and the concerns of Russia regarding its expansion.

The principal themes discussed in the conversation include the challenges faced by NATO in satisfying Putin, the impact of events like the Kosovo War and the Orange Revolution on Russia's perception of the West, the importance of self-determination, the role of international law and norms, the rise of China as a global power, the complexities of the Russia-China relationship, and the need for the West to be aware of its limitations and engage in honest conversations about trade-offs.

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