• AI Euphoria Or Early Peak
    Dec 10 2025

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    We question whether AI hype has outrun fundamentals while mapping a practical plan to stay invested. We dig into energy limits, data center pushback, circular demand, debt signals, selective stock picking, and tax-smart ways to lock in gains.

    • froth signals across AI leaders and suppliers
    • circular demand and debt-funded capex risks
    • grid and energy constraints shaping data center buildouts
    • local approvals, community impact, and siting choices
    • selective exposure over single-name concentration
    • competition across chips, code, and applications
    • practical profit-taking and rebalancing tactics
    • donating appreciated shares for tax efficiency
    • preparing allocations for the 2025 to 2026 shift

    Think about it


    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    14 mins
  • Tariffs Fade From Center Stage
    Dec 10 2025

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    Markets don’t fear tariffs because they’re ideological. They fear tariffs because they’re unpredictable, blunt, and expensive at the point where businesses actually pay: the border. We dig into 2025’s tariff surge, why the legal footing always looked shaky, and how the market learned to translate political slogans into real cash costs for U.S. importers and consumers.

    We start by untangling a common mistake: treating trade deficits like federal budget gaps. Trade balances sit inside the broader balance of payments and are offset by services and capital flows, so using blanket tariffs to “fix” them misses the economic mechanics. From there, we walk through the constitutional and statutory landscape. Congress owns tariff authority, and while it delegates narrow powers for national security and anti‑dumping cases, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act was never designed for worldwide levies. That’s why courts, including the Supreme Court, signaled skepticism toward the April rollout.

    Then we get practical. Who pays? U.S. importers write the checks, then fight to pass costs along supply chains, with mixed success. That reality explains the sudden April selloff, the blow to business confidence, and the scramble for exemptions. We also trace the diplomatic fallout—frayed goodwill with Canada, Mexico, and the U.K.—and the hollow optics of “agreements” without text or verification. Finally, we map what’s next: a likely legal reversal, a shift back to targeted tools, and a slow drip of tariff relevance rather than a flood. For investors, the edge lies with firms that hold pricing power, diversify suppliers, and invest in regional resilience.

    If you value clear thinking over noise, tap play, subscribe for future breakdowns, and leave a review with your take on how trade policy should actually be built.

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    16 mins
  • Investing Through The International Merry-Go-Round
    Dec 10 2025

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    Headlines promised breakthroughs; markets priced stalemates. We step onto the so‑called international merry-go-round and examine how Ukraine, Gaza, and Taiwan shaped 2025’s volatility—then we connect the dots to where risk and return may actually meet in 2026. Rather than reheating talking points, we look at what moved capital: elusive ceasefires, frayed Middle East ties, and a supply chain reality where rare earths and energy intensity dictate who has leverage and for how long.

    We dig into why China’s grip on critical minerals remains a structural headwind for chips, EVs, and defense—and why the fastest path to resilience may run through Canada’s hydropower-backed smelting, not wishful reshoring. We talk through the European dimension of any Ukraine settlement, outlining a cleaner role for the U.S. that supports capacity without sidelining the countries most exposed. Along the way, we trace how policy style—short attention spans and photo-op diplomacy—filters into premiums for defense contractors, stretched lead times for industrial components, and a higher floor for commodity and freight volatility.

    Looking ahead, we map credible 2026 scenarios: Russian hybrid operations testing NATO’s gray zones, tighter pressure on Taiwan and a more forward-leaning Japan, and rhetorical truces with China that stabilize vibes but not supply chains. Our takeaway is practical: position for sustained European rearmament, watch permitting, power, and processing as the real bottlenecks, and keep dry powder for dislocations that panic will misprice. If peace and prosperity still command the best multiples, portfolios need shock absorbers until diplomacy catches up.

    If this kind of clear-eyed, market-first analysis helps you navigate uncertainty, follow the show, share it with a friend who invests, and leave a quick review so others can find us. What risk are you most focused on for 2026?

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    24 mins
  • Peak Trump Or Just A Pause
    Dec 10 2025

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    Power peaks when attention outpaces achievement. That’s the lens we bring to a brisk year-end audit of 2025, asking whether the “big beautiful bill,” tariff bursts, and a flurry of executive actions represented durable progress or a loud crest without foundation. We weigh health optics, the slowdown in rallies, and how those signals affected confidence among GOP insiders, donors, and primary challengers. When allies start testing distance and new contenders emerge, the coalition is telling you where it thinks tomorrow lies.

    We track how courts became the real venue for policy, tempering the impact of immigration raids and headline actions that generate heat but little measurable change. On markets, we unpack why investors priced the noise as risk rather than reward, reviving the idea that spectacle often ends in softer outcomes. The conversation turns practical where it counts: missed chances in LNG export capacity, permitting reform, and rare earths that could have strengthened supply chains, allies, and jobs for a decade. Tariffs against secondary suppliers like Vietnam may score points, but they don’t compound. Infrastructure and long-term contracts do.

    Succession is the quiet story underneath. Berkshire’s planned handoff shows how durable institutions de-risk the future. Trumpworld, by contrast, offers no clear successor who can carry the brand’s energy into 2026. If Democrats gain in the midterms, pressure to hand off rises, but a rushed transition looks like retreat, not renewal. Our conclusion is sharp but fair: 2025 felt like peak Trump—not collapse, but a plateau where attention ran ahead of lasting impact. If there’s a second act, it will require coalition-building, measurable policy, and investment in assets that compound over time.

    If this breakdown sharpened your thinking, follow the show, leave a review, and share it with a friend who tracks politics, policy, and markets as closely as you do.

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    17 mins
  • Peak Powell Or Just Good Policy
    Dec 10 2025

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    Markets don’t move on speeches alone; they move on credibility. We take you inside a fast-moving 2025 where Jerome Powell faced political heat, weighed softening labor data, and used Jackson Hole to set a disciplined path toward rate cuts without surrendering the Fed’s independence. From there, we chart the trade-offs every investor cares about: do cuts cushion a slowdown or risk re-igniting inflation that’s still biting in housing, food, and utilities?

    We dig into the data fog that muddied decision-making. A government shutdown delayed key releases and a high-profile flap at the Bureau of Labor Statistics raised tough questions about timeliness, revisions, and the specter of political interference. Our take: GDP will be revised for months, so investors should triangulate with higher-frequency signals—claims, PMIs, card spend, credit spreads—and treat shutdown-tainted prints with caution. We also explore the governance storyline around Governor Cook, how media scrutiny and process ultimately held, and why the Fed’s unique legal standing limits presidential power to remove board members.

    Expect a clear, investor-focused read on what comes next. We frame a base case of two to three conditional cuts, explain why guidance matters more than the dot plot count, and outline how the Fed could pause or even take back a cut if inflation expectations drift. We close by mapping the risks that could tip 2026 toward recession—job losses, affordability pressures, and slower demand—and translate that into portfolio moves: prioritize quality balance sheets, keep selective duration, and maintain liquidity to navigate spread shocks when politics and data collide.

    If you value sharp, independent analysis that cuts through the noise, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review—what’s your call on the next move: more cuts or a pause?

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    19 mins
  • Trade Temptations Versus Security Guarantees
    Dec 3 2025

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    We pull apart the hype around Russia–US talks, question the assumption that business deals can buy peace, and map what a credible ceasefire and security guarantee would require. We also test oil-price myths and outline where investors might actually find durable opportunity in Europe.

    • why freezing current lines needs real deterrence behind it
    • how expropriation risk turns investments into leverage
    • lessons from Nord Stream on dependence and policy
    • sanctions relief tied to verified reconstruction milestones
    • hybrid warfare across NATO’s edge and responses
    • oil supply myths, Saudi swing capacity, and prices
    • investment angles in EU integration and rebuild
    • why Russia’s economic scale is overstated by maps

    If you like what you're doing, what we're doing, then please let others know and let's try to do more things that you enjoy


    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    27 mins
  • How A First-Gen Story Shapes Modern Wealth Advice
    Dec 3 2025

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    We trace Juliana’s path from a childhood lesson about money and opportunity to a career helping advisors grow, exit well, and serve families with integrity. Along the way we unpack long-term investing, women-led leadership, client succession, and how to reach the next generation with clarity.

    • Money as opportunity and motivation
    • Choosing finance to translate complex ideas
    • AI, crypto and disciplined long-term strategy
    • Why 60-40 still works for many retirees
    • From cash under the mattress to diversified portfolios
    • Advisor M&A framed as partnership and culture fit
    • Women of Merit, representation and mentorship
    • Serving the millionaire next door
    • Engaging spouses early to build trust
    • Winning next-gen by including heirs now
    • Three traits of great advisors: integrity, energy fit, humanity

    “Everything we’re doing you like, and you want us to do more of it. 2026 is going to be an exciting year—subscribe and stay with us.”


    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    51 mins
  • Thankful Investing: Wellness, Tech, And Resilience
    Nov 19 2025

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    Gratitude can be a powerful investing edge. We open with what matters most—health, family, and the gift of time—and show how a calmer life widens the gap between impulse and action. That space lets us think in seasons, not seconds: read more deeply, travel for perspective, and build portfolios that can withstand surprise. From there, we pivot to the markets we’re thankful for, spotlighting a technology arc that’s reshaping the real economy. Custom chips, advanced lithography, and AI moving from tool to advisor create durable moats and new cash flows. This isn’t the old dot‑com play where clicks replaced profits; earnings and margins now anchor the thesis, even if some names have run ahead of themselves.

    We get honest about risk. Trimming concentrated AI winners, keeping cash ready for pullbacks, and holding gold as ballast form a simple, resilient playbook. We compare global prices through travel stories to make inflation tangible, then credit scientific breakthroughs like mRNA vaccines and GLP‑1 therapies for improving both lives and economic stability. Despite policy noise and tariff headlines, markets have shown surprising resilience—another reason to respect liquidity and stay skeptical of crowded trades. We also champion the humble 401(k) for compounding discipline and urge caution before stuffing complex private equity into retirement menus without strong guardrails.

    Across it all, a theme emerges: align money with meaning. Use gratitude to set pace, define purpose, and choose when to act. Own quality growth with valuation discipline, keep dry powder, and let compounding work while you live the life you’re funding. If this conversation sparked a new habit or helped you tune out the noise, share it with a friend, subscribe for more thoughtful finance, and leave a quick review telling us what you want us to tackle next.

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    26 mins