Probably not what you all were asking for, but we needed to pay some homage to the brilliant career of Warren Buffett. His insights, banter, and philosphy will be sorely missed in the investing world next year...and yes, we will all do what we can to carry the torch. Additionally, a ton of economic data came in since the last time we had a dram together. More to come on that.

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What a time to be alive...it seems like we're 5 tweets away from either a falling knife or new all time highs every other day. Now there's a 90-day pause, a joust between the Fed Chair and the President, and an honest retreat from the U.S. Dollar. I'm sure I'm missing a couple things, but go easy on me.

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Take me seriously, not literally. Literally.

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Only did this because Tim in our discord requested an emergency, post-liberation day broadcast. FYI, I was out of whiskey, had very little time to record and edit, so sorry if it's sloppy.

Cheers,

It seems like lately, the odds of a recession are climbing, but it also seems like there's so much more to the 'recession' label than GDP. However, it seems like the private sector has been catching on with new trends on how to produce more 'product' to buoy GDP; particularly with private credit & more BNPL ideas. Now what could possibly go wrong with that.

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Apologies for the awkwardness this week, had to do a solo episode due to some scheduling conflicts, but I promise we'll be back in full form next week! Wanted to give a quick recap on the markets now that we're in correction territory and show some historical data. I also may have confused the term "recession" with "bear-market" a few times, so please forgive me. I blame the whiskey. But to clarify, a recession is a widespread decline in economic activity lasting several months, while a bear market is a 20% or greater drawdown in the S&P or whatever index you like to track.

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The Trump Administration is obviously moving very fast and the economy / markets are taking it on the chin. With all the uncertainty around, investors are cleary being cautious as they find footing on how trade negotiations will impact businesses & economic growth. Additionally, GDP revisions are start to scatter as economists try to get a handle on tariffs and how that inpacts output. Hope this helps lol.

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Is it just me, or is the idea of creating a Sovereign Wealth Fund a crazy idea? Don't get me wrong, I totally see the appeal in launching one; but the idea of the Government picking favorites just doesn't sit well at all with me. Additionally, we had some other news on inflation, debt delinquincies, and retail sentiment we had to pour one out to.

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