
#138 Quantifying Uncertainty in Bayesian Deep Learning, Live from Imperial College London
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Narrated by:
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About this listen
Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!
- Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free)
- Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free)
Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!
Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)
Takeaways:
- Bayesian deep learning is a growing field with many challenges.
- Current research focuses on applying Bayesian methods to neural networks.
- Diffusion methods are emerging as a new approach for uncertainty quantification.
- The integration of machine learning tools into Bayesian models is a key area of research.
- The complexity of Bayesian neural networks poses significant computational challenges.
- Future research will focus on improving methods for uncertainty quantification. Generalized Bayesian inference offers a more robust approach to uncertainty.
- Uncertainty quantification is crucial in fields like medicine and epidemiology.
- Detecting out-of-distribution examples is essential for model reliability.
- Exploration-exploitation trade-off is vital in reinforcement learning.
- Marginal likelihood can be misleading for model selection.
- The integration of Bayesian methods in LLMs presents unique challenges.
Chapters:
00:00 Introduction to Bayesian Deep Learning
03:12 Panelist Introductions and Backgrounds
10:37 Current Research and Challenges in Bayesian Deep Learning
18:04 Contrasting Approaches: Bayesian vs. Machine Learning
26:09 Tools and Techniques for Bayesian Deep Learning
31:18 Innovative Methods in Uncertainty Quantification
36:23 Generalized Bayesian Inference and Its Implications
41:38 Robust Bayesian Inference and Gaussian Processes
44:24 Software Development in Bayesian Statistics
46:51 Understanding Uncertainty in Language Models
50:03 Hallucinations in Language Models
53:48 Bayesian Neural Networks vs Traditional Neural Networks
58:00 Challenges with Likelihood Assumptions
01:01:22 Practical Applications of Uncertainty Quantification
01:04:33 Meta Decision-Making with Uncertainty
01:06:50 Exploring Bayesian Priors in Neural Networks
01:09:17 Model Complexity and Data Signal
01:12:10 Marginal Likelihood and Model Selection
01:15:03 Implementing Bayesian Methods in LLMs
01:19:21 Out-of-Distribution Detection in LLMs
Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!
Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer,...