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Q4 Chaos: Navigating Shutdown Risks and Rate Cut Expectations

Q4 Chaos: Navigating Shutdown Risks and Rate Cut Expectations

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 Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1382. US stock futures are down sharply as the Q4 market opens under the shadow of a government shutdown, immediately wiping out momentum from a strong Q3. While Q2 GDP was robust, softening labor data (unemployment at 4.3%) is driving the expectation of an interest rate cut next month. The immediate trading strategy calls for a defensive pivot, favoring Health Care (XLV) due to strong earnings and historical resilience, alongside continued core exposure to Technology (QQQ, XLK). Investors are advised to utilize fixed income (AGG) as a ballast against volatility and avoid highrisk sectors like Energy (XLE) and Financials (XLF) until political uncertainty resolves.
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