As SpaceX (SPCX) trades near $110 after a roughly 50% plunge from its post-IPO highs, one of the most disciplined pure chart readers in the game has been calling $100 as the level that becomes very hard to ignore.
In this Dad Ledger interview, Professor Keith (Carolina Keith_1) breaks down exactly why the charts — not the headlines, not the macro noise, not the Starship drama — are pointing lower, and why $100 could represent one of the cleanest technical entries of the year.
We also cover:
- His full origin story: from homeless with $17 in a junk room after divorce to building a full-time charting career through pure technical analysis
- Why 98% of price action is computers and algorithms — and how an average person can still win with simple, rule-based systems (8/21 EMAs, Fibonacci, clear plans)
- Bitcoin’s repeating 350+ day sideways/down cycle and why he is waiting until Q4 (October–December) for the real buy zone on top coins
- His non-negotiable rules: no leverage for regular people, take profits religiously, top-tier coins only, zero memes or paid promotions, emotions stay out of the trade
- How charts cut through the current market chaos better than any narrative
Keith charts SpaceX every single day for the public. With the stock testing the exact zone he has been highlighting, this conversation is timely.
Not financial advice. Do your own research. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Follow Keith:
- X: @Carolinakeith_1
- YouTube: T.A. with Keith Laye
Timestamps below. Drop your thoughts on the $100 SpaceX level in the comments — are you waiting for it or already positioning?
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(Approximate from the provided transcript — refine slightly after upload if needed)
0:00 – Intro & Keith’s origin: homeless with $17 to full-time charting1:39 – Who is Professor Keith? The short + long version4:00 – Early failures, discovering XRP, learning the hard way9:00 – Laundry-room streams and building an audience by questioning the herd13:00 – How he actually learned technical analysis (Flash Crash, EMAs, the four rules)18:00 – Core trading philosophy: no leverage, daily charts only, take profits, plan everything22:00 – Bitcoin cycles, current mid-bear reality, and why most people will keep getting chopped26:00 – The 2020–21 coins that worked and the ones that didn’t32:30 – SpaceX deep dive: daily charts, why $100 is the level, and his multi-month plan36:00 – Why charts beat macro and news (computers, Fibonacci history, Moneyball, server farms)43:00 – Following the wrong people and why someone will take your profits if you don’t44:00 – Taxes, real talk on paying them, and keeping capital working47:30 – Fatherhood lessons that apply directly to markets and leadership54:20 – Where to find Keith (X, YouTube, Rumble)56:20 – Diamond advice: Be a leader, not a follower
Chapters / Timestamps
Jul 31 202639 mins