In this special episode of The Unseen War, the Seabrook Wessex Group's Director for Tariff Strategies, Frank Warren, cuts through the noise surrounding tariffs, the Supreme Court, and the future of U.S. trade policy. Contrary to headlines predicting either the end of tariffs or an escalation into something worse, this episode argues that neither outcome is likely.

Instead, Frank explains why a potential Supreme Court decision sustaining the U.S. Court of International Trade's ruling against the administration's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) would not eliminate tariffs—but fundamentally reshape them. Drawing on historical precedent, including the Reagan administration's use of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, he outlines why future tariffs are likely to become narrower, slower, and more predictable.

The episode reframes the current tariff regime as a shift from blunt force to surgical precision—and explains why that transition, while frustrating for policymakers, could be far more manageable for prepared businesses. For family-owned mid-market and lower-mid-market manufacturers already bearing the cost of tariffs, this episode offers both clarity and cautious hope—along with a clear call to prepare, not panic.

For many manufacturers, the question of China isn't whether to change, but how — and at what risk. In this episode of The Unseen War, Frank Warren breaks down a disciplined, non-reactive approach to supplier diversification in a tariff-driven environment.

Rather than chasing headlines or attempting a risky, wholesale exit from China, this discussion reframes diversification as optionality — building layered alternatives that protect quality, cost, and relationships. Frank explains why supplier strategy should start with components, not countries, how to pilot diversification intelligently, and why preserving trust and leverage matters more than dramatic moves.

This episode is a practical guide for family-owned and mid-market manufacturers who want to reduce exposure, restore balance, and prepare for a post–trade-war environment without burning bridges.

In this dispatch, Frank Warren discusses the often-overlooked risks in trade wars, emphasizing that the most dangerous risks are those that organizations have stopped recognizing. He highlights the phenomenon of risk blindness, where companies become complacent due to stable operations, leading to margin erosion and distorted pricing decisions. Warren urges leaders to enhance visibility in their supply chains and to question their assumptions about supplier reliability, advocating for a proactive approach to risk management in a rapidly changing economic environment,