Adam Levitan takes a deep dive into the expanding world of projection markets, gaining insight from those spearheading the market from guests Nigel Eccles, former FanDuel founder and founder of BetDEX and BetHog, Henry Kerins, who serves as the VP of Trading at Novig, and @Sports__Proj, a former DFS Shark turned anonymous Prediction Market While from The Risk Takers Podcast.

Timestamps:

0:00 - Introduction

2:05 - How Prediction Markets Work Compared To Sportsbooks

6:32 - Are Prediction Markets Better For Consumers?

11:00 - Benefits Beyond The Lack of Limiting

17:17 - PMs And States Without Legalized Gambling

21:20 - Does Opposing Side Matter In Market Making?

25:15 - Marketing For Prediction Markets

28:54 - Advice On Market Making For Non-Professionals

39:29 - Experts On The Merits Of Taking

43:44 - How Retail/Casual Traders Can Gain An Advantage

46:32 - The Regulatory Outlook on PMs

49:59 - Listener Questions

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DraftKings Best Ball: Draft One, Get One

Enter DraftKings' $20M Best Ball contest for $25 and you'll receive a bonus ticket to play a second Best Ball draft for free. Available to all DraftKings customers.

⁠⁠⁠⁠Sign Up Now⁠⁠⁠⁠! ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://dkng.co/ETRBestBall⁠⁠⁠⁠

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit [⁠⁠⁠⁠ccpg.org⁠⁠⁠⁠](⁠⁠⁠⁠http://ccpg.org⁠⁠⁠⁠) (CT).

18+ in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. 1 per customer. Must enter a lineup into the NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. $25 entry fee. Bonus issued as 1 ticket to NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is site credit valid for use only on NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is single-use and expires at contest lock on 9/9/26. See terms at⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://www.draftkings.com/promotions⁠⁠⁠⁠. Ends 9/9/26 at contest lock. Sponsored by DraftKings.

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Pete Overzet joins ETR's Adam Levitan and Justin Herzig for the yearly ETR tradition of breaking down what they believe are the best roster construction strategies to take into your NFL Best Ball drafts to take advantage of how ADPs are settling and how others draft.

Timestamps:

0:00 - Introduction

2:15 - #1 Robust RB

10:10 - #2 Hero RB

15:02 - #3 Elite QB

23:58 - #4 Elite TE

30:32 - #5 Zero RB

35:44 - #6 Three Late QBs

40:29 - #7 Double Elite QB

42:41 - #8 Double Elite TE

44:38 - #9 Single TE / Single QB

Want ETR on your team this season?

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• Research & Analysis Articles

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Subscribe now at https://subscribe.establishtherun.com/nflbestball/

DraftKings Best Ball: Draft One, Get One

Enter DraftKings' $20M Best Ball contest for $25 and you'll receive a bonus ticket to play a second Best Ball draft for free. Available to all DraftKings customers.

⁠⁠⁠Sign Up Now⁠⁠⁠! ⁠⁠⁠https://dkng.co/ETRBestBall⁠⁠⁠

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit [⁠⁠⁠ccpg.org⁠⁠⁠](⁠⁠⁠http://ccpg.org⁠⁠⁠) (CT).

18+ in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. 1 per customer. Must enter a lineup into the NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. $25 entry fee. Bonus issued as 1 ticket to NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is site credit valid for use only on NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is single-use and expires at contest lock on 9/9/26. See terms at⁠⁠⁠ https://www.draftkings.com/promotions⁠⁠⁠. Ends 9/9/26 at contest lock. Sponsored by DraftKings.

FREE NEWSLETTER: Tired of attention-seeking hot takes? Get the highest-quality fantasy football analysis in your inbox, FREE: https://establishtherun.kit.com/email

DFS OPTIMIZER: Sign up for THE SOLVER for access to the software we think fantasy players need to win: ⁠⁠⁠https://thesolver.com/?ref=etr⁠⁠⁠

SPORTSBOOK OFFERS: We’ve partnered with several major sportsbook outlets to help supply you with the best offers in the industry and ensure you’re maximizing your bankroll from the start: ⁠⁠⁠https://establishtherun.com/offers/⁠⁠⁠

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: ⁠⁠⁠https://linktr.ee/establishtherun⁠

Adam Levitan takes a look at average draft position from around the best ball industry over the last week. He digs into the biggest ADP changes on Underdog and DraftKings.

In this episode, we discuss:

• Mark Andrews' future

• Does Kamara have anything left?

• Ladd's Year 3 outlook

• Expectations for Malik Willis

• McBride regression incoming?

  
  

Links mentioned in the episode:

1. Market Monday: May 11

2. Underdog Best Ball Landscape (2026)

3. Fantasy Fallout: Chargers Sign Njoku

   
   

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2026 NFL Best Ball product has you covered with:

• Real-Time Rankings

• Research & Analysis Articles

• Draft Strategy Content

• Draft Livestreams

• Discord Community

• Q&As with ETR Team

Subscribe now at https://subscribe.establishtherun.com/nflbestball/

DraftKings Best Ball: Draft One, Get One

Enter DraftKings' $20M Best Ball contest for $25 and you'll receive a bonus ticket to play a second Best Ball draft for free. Available to all DraftKings customers.

Sign Up Now! https://dkng.co/ETRBestBall

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit [ccpg.org](http://ccpg.org) (CT).

18+ in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. 1 per customer. Must enter a lineup into the NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. $25 entry fee. Bonus issued as 1 ticket to NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is site credit valid for use only on NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is single-use and expires at contest lock on 9/9/26. See terms at https://www.draftkings.com/promotions. Ends 9/9/26 at contest lock. Sponsored by DraftKings.

FREE NEWSLETTER: Tired of attention-seeking hot takes? Get the highest-quality fantasy football analysis in your inbox, FREE: https://establishtherun.kit.com/email

DFS OPTIMIZER: Sign up for THE SOLVER for access to the software we think fantasy players need to win: https://thesolver.com/?ref=etr

SPORTSBOOK OFFERS: We’ve partnered with several major sportsbook outlets to help supply you with the best offers in the industry and ensure you’re maximizing your bankroll from the start: https://establishtherun.com/offers/

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun