Deregulation for the largest US banks, including Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, are among the key 2H catalysts that BI litigation and policy analysts are watching. In this litigation and policy midyear outlook episode, the team also discusses key crypto legislation and why tech companies like Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple and Meta will continue to face heightened antitrust enforcement. Other catalysts include an anticipated Supreme Court ruling likely holding US reciprocal tariffs unlawful. AI copyright cases may start going against LLMs. Nexstar and other US broadcasters could win a major victory, with the FCC expected to ease or eliminate media caps. BNP Paribas likely settles a Sudan genocide class-action and Swedbank likely incurs money-laundering penalties.

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The One Big Beautiful Bill is the key policy catalyst Bloomberg Intelligence analysts are watching this week. The bill likely hands wins to Apple, Disney, Alphabet and Boeing by locking in an offshore safe harbor and restoring foreign tax credits while shielding foreign entities from IRS scrutiny. REITs are also a big winner. First Solar, Nextracker, Array, Shoals and US solar peers are in line for a boost to domestic demand over the coming year as developers rush to break ground and qualify for tax credits. Medicaid cuts and an end to ACA subsidies will be a headwind for some insurers, provider-tax changes might not become a reality and orphan drugs likely benefit from IRA changes. State AI regulations survive for now but Congress shows it wants a light touch. Congress is restoring FCC power to hold auctions of wireless licenses.

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Key court rulings on June 23 and 25 in cases against Anthropic and Meta over the use of copyrighted material in large language models are among the catalysts Bloomberg Intelligence litigation and policy analysts are watching this week. The decisions are also relevant for Google, Microsoft, the New York Times, OpenAI and others. The team also discussed the outlook for antitrust enforcement of M&A under US President Donald Trump, with ramifications for several pending deals, such as Dick’s Sporting Goods-Foot Locker, Charter-Cox and Google-Wiz. CVS and Cigna Express Scripts are challenging an Arkansas law that would ban operators of pharmacy benefit managers from holding pharmacy licenses. Finally, we discussed the outlook for FCC deregulation, including removal of broadcast caps, with implications for Nexstar, Sinclair and Tegna.

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