Episodes

  • IL41: They’re Not Just Reading You... They’re Rewriting You ft. Sandra Matz
    Sep 3 2025

    What if knowing you isn’t the end goal...bbut shaping you is? In this episode, Kevin Coldiron speaks with Columbia professor Sandra Matz about how algorithms trained on our clicks, searches, and faces don’t just predict our behavior - they influence it. They unpack how personalization narrows possibility, why convenience can come at the cost of resilience, and what happens when machines learn to mirror us better than we mirror each other. From the false promise of data consent to the quiet collapse of complexity, this is a conversation about power, psychology, and the systems quietly remaking the human experience.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.

    Follow Sandra on LinkedIn and read her book.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:13 - Introduction to Sandra Matz

    08:22 - How data is a window into our psychology

    12:13 - What is the "right" benchmark?

    14:12 - How algorithms learn to understand who you are

    19:11 - Do algorithms care about your feelings?

    22:16 - The "basic bitch" effect

    25:10 - Computers can learn your personality from a picture of your...

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    1 hr and 1 min
  • SI363: The Misreading of Trend ft. Nick Baltas
    Aug 30 2025

    As trend following begins to reassert itself, Niels and Nick Baltas dig beneath the surface of recent CTA performance - where the signals are working, why fixed income remains unresolved, and how speed is revealing deeper structural divides. But this episode goes beyond attribution. What if the industry has mistaken correlation shifts for changes in signal speed? What if the very idea of a “trend beta” is flawed? And what if compounding durable returns isn’t about chasing performance, but protecting against path? This is a conversation about design over style, clarity over convention, and the quiet decisions that shape real outcomes.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Nick on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:50 - Catching up

    05:02 - Industry performance update

    13:18 - How the speed of trend following strategies is changing

    24:13 - Is there a way to define speed differently?

    32:19 - Do we have the right definition of a trend index?

    38:20 - Brainstorming ideas on how to improve trend following benchmarks

    43:50 - The best car needs the best brakes

    49:26 - Baltas framework for enhancing trend following performance

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the...

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    1 hr
  • OI18: The Carbon Trade, Without the Illusion ft. Mike Azlen
    Aug 27 2025

    Mike Azlen joins Moritz Seibert for a frank look at carbon markets, and why much of what passes for climate action may be making things worse. While offsets dominate headlines, it's the regulated markets that deliver real emissions cuts by design, not intention. They unpack how cap-and-trade channels profit into abatement, why moral hazard plagues the voluntary space, and where long-only investors can find a real risk premium. From structural inefficiencies to measurable impact, this is a conversation about aligning incentives with outcomes - in a market where price isn’t just a signal, but a lever.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:14 - Introduction to Mike Azlen

    04:00 - What are Carbon Markets and how do they function?

    13:32 - How Carbon Markets work in different countries

    16:35 - The complexities of carbon offsets - viable or just a scam?

    21:58 - Is Carbon Capture a viable solution to the climate crisis?

    25:44 - Why is there a risk premium in compliance carbon markets?

    29:31 - The difference between spot and physical permits

    32:35 - Why is the funding premium so large in California?

    33:49 - The investment philosophy behind Carbon Cap Management

    36:56 - It's all in the EUAs

    40:50 - The positive impact of Carbon Cap Management

    45:39 - Wrapping up

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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    PLUS:...

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    48 mins
  • SI362: The Alpha Most Systems Miss ft. Yoav Git
    Aug 23 2025

    Yoav Git and Alan Dunne sits down for a conversation that challenges familiar assumptions about curve trading, market structure, and the role of CTAs. They explore why dislocations across time horizons create pockets of alpha most models miss, and how breakout behavior in commodity spreads signals more than noise. Drawing on a recent Bank of England study, Yoav explains how different participants leave distinct footprints on the FX curve, and why CTAs, far from being passive allocators, can act as dynamic responders to changing regimes. This is systematic trading, without the shorthand.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Yoav on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:32 - What has caught our attention recently?

    07:10 - Industry performance update

    09:20 - Dont just trend it, curve it

    16:33 - The drivers of spread

    23:26 - Breaking markets into factors

    26:37 - Mastering speed in spread trades

    31:39 - Is there too much money in trend?

    36:47 - Key insights into FX trading

    44:23 - How dealers and market makers approach risk differently

    47:28 - The thought provoking fact about the top 5% dealers and market makers

    50:23 - The real process of an allocator

    56:39 - Using trend as part of a long term strategy

    01:01:35 - You should just go play...

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    1 hr and 8 mins
  • GM86: Everyone’s Watching the Fed. The Real Story’s Somewhere Else. ft. Louis Vincent-Gave
    Aug 20 2025

    Louis-Vincent Gave returns with a blunt assessment of a global order fraying at key seams. Construction is stalling. Trade policy is adrift. Capital is retreating from the U.S. And yet, markets hum along... propped up by AI euphoria and the illusion of fiscal permanence. In this conversation with Alan Dunne, Louis questions whether investors grasp the shifting ground beneath their feet: from rising tariff walls to energy fragility, from the quiet restructuring of China’s financial system to the early signals of capital rotation into emerging markets. If this is a transition phase, most portfolios aren’t built for what comes next.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Louis on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:20 - (Re)Introduction to Louis Gave

    03:45 - Gave's analysis of the current economic data

    09:45 - What causes the weakening of the economy?

    11:54 - The outlook for tariffs - will they eventually become stable?

    16:16 - The future for inflation - will it become more persistent over time?

    20:43 - The risk factors of energy markets

    25:51 - Will we see a Fed cut in September?

    26:58 - Powell - in or out?

    31:13 - We are seeing a paradigm shift in the US Dollar

    38:26 - The outcome of the AI revolution

    43:03 - Deficits are like tequila shots

    46:55 -...

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    1 hr
  • SI361: The Four Faces of Trend Following ft. Richard Brennan
    Aug 15 2025

    Richard Brennan joins Niels for a conversation that redefines how trend following is understood. Behind the shared language lie four distinct archetypes - each built around a different purpose. Richard walks through them with clarity, then unpacks the trade-offs: static sizing vs. vol targeting, symmetry vs. asymmetry, speed vs. patience. A real-world portfolio test drives the point home... some strategies don’t just prefer diversification, they depend on it. This episode is about design, but more than that, it’s about alignment. Because in a field crowded with performance metrics, the most important question often goes unasked: what exactly is this built to do?

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Rich on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:58 - ChatGPT5 is on fire

    06:04 - The AI revolution could be the end of humanity

    14:23 - Industry performance update

    19:19 - An overview of what topics this episode will cover

    21:23 - The decisions that really matter in trend following

    27:10 - The 4 archetypes of trend following

    34:05 - Its not about facts, its about objectives

    40:09 - 1st debate: Diversification vs. concentration

    48:52 - 2nd debate: Absolute momentum vs. cross-sectional momentum

    50:21 - 3rd debate: Volatility targeting vs static small bits

    54:02 - What trend followers sometimes get wrong about volatility and position sizing

    57:48 - 4th debate: Symmetry vs asymmetry

    01:02:00 -...

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    1 hr and 27 mins
  • UGO05: Volatility’s Blueprint: How Markets Really Move ft. Mandy Xu & Ed Tom
    Aug 12 2025

    From the first futures in 1848 to today’s zero-day options, Cem Karsan, Mandy Xu, and Ed Tom chart how derivatives have moved from the market’s periphery to its center of gravity. At the core is Cboe’s new VIX decomposition tool, which disentangles moves driven by downside hedging, upside speculation, and shifts in the volatility surface. Through episodes like the yuan shock, Volmageddon, and 2024’s “Liberation Day,” they show how positioning can amplify or mute risk, and why vol sometimes rises into rallies. This is a guided tour of volatility’s inner workings, and how reading its structure can reveal the market’s next move before price does.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Cem on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    59:42 - Introduction to the series

    02:21 - Where did options come from and where are we going?

    10:20 - The purpose and mechanisms of the VIX decomposition tool

    18:55 - The history of the VIX index

    23:20 - The beginning of a volmageddon

    26:24 - A comparison between 2 recent volatility events (August 2024 and April 2025)

    35:03 - Key indicators for understanding risk in markets

    42:23 - The current state of 0DTE options

    50:29 - The optimal way of using VIX and hedge options

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put...

    Show More Show Less
    55 mins
  • SI360: The Fed, the Fiction, and the Fight for Control ft. Alan Dunne
    Aug 9 2025

    When official data starts serving politics, markets lose their anchor. Alan Dunne and Niels examine the quiet shift unfolding as the U.S. edges closer to emerging market behavior - firing statisticians, sidelining inconvenient numbers, and pressuring the Fed ahead of a consequential leadership reshuffle. With labor supply falling, growth stalling, and tariffs acting as stealth taxes, the Fed’s playbook no longer fits the moment. Behind the scenes, hedge fund power brokers position themselves to shape what comes next. Plus, an unvarnished look at trend following’s drawdown, the lazy critiques making the rounds, and why so many allocators still miss the point.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:32 - What has caught our attention recently?

    08:53 - Dunne's global macro overview

    13:31 - Is our understanding of growth and GDP outdated?

    17:52 - The Fed is under threat from multiple angles

    21:38 - Dunne's impression of Kevin Warsh as a candidate for Fed chairman

    26:43 - An odd juxtaposition with hedge fund titans' influences on the Fed

    32:35 - Industry performance update

    37:30 - Our takeaways from The Wall Street Journal's article on Trend Following

    43:35 - Why should investors even consider managed futures in the first place?

    45:40 - Has Dunne ever been on the verge of cutting trend?

    52:08 - Do long term investors really need diversifiers?

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All...

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    1 hr and 5 mins