Episodes

  • We Have A Deal: Now What?

    We Have A Deal: Now What?
    Oct 31 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the market reaction to the ''deal'' between Trump and Xi: what happens next? The duo also covers the Fed and BoJ decisions, the state of the AI trade, and the Supreme Court hearings on tariffs starting next week. Want to reach out to Alf or Brent? Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg chat, or alf@palinurocapital.comBrent Donnelly on Bloomberg chat, or bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com
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    31 mins
  • Momentum Shock: What Next For Markets?

    Momentum Shock: What Next For Markets?
    Oct 23 2025
    Have a great macro trade idea for Alf and Brent to discuss on the show? Send your trade idea here: ⁠TMTF Trade Of The Week Alf and Brent discuss the vicious momentum unwind which took down precious metals and various speculative stock market sectors: what should we expect now? The duo also discusses the upcoming US CPI, and take a step back to assess the big picture macro setup we will likely face for the next 6-9 months.
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    29 mins
  • Gold & Cockroaches

    Gold & Cockroaches
    Oct 17 2025
    Have a great macro trade idea for Alf and Brent to discuss on the show? Send your trade idea here: TMTF Trade Of The Week In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss the massive rally in precious metals: what's behind it? Is it a broad debasement theme or just a big momentum trade? And is Dimon right when he talks about more cockroaches in credit markets?
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    32 mins
  • Buy The Bubble or Watch It Burst?

    Buy The Bubble or Watch It Burst?
    Oct 10 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the massive AI-driven rally which is beginning to have strong implications for broader markets and the economy. Brent presents the consensus view from several hedge fund PMs he met in Singapore - are they riding the bubble or afraid it's going to burst soon? And what about bonds, gold, and the USD? Get in touch with Alf via Bloomberg (ping him at Alfonso Peccatiello) or via email at alf@palinurocapital.com Get in touch with Brent via Bloomberg (ping him at Brent Donnelly) or via email at bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com
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    35 mins
  • Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?

    Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?
    Sep 6 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the recent NFP print and its implications for markets. They also reflect on the right framework to apply to RSI and options when dealing with asset classes having skewed return distributions. To contact Alf and Brent, send a Bloomberg IB to Brent Donnelly and Alfonso Peccatiello
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    33 mins
  • The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance

    The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance
    Aug 29 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the latest attempt from Trump to gain more control over the Fed, and the implications this might have on multiple asset classes. They also discuss the JPY and the political situation in France.
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    29 mins
  • Run It Hot Hot Hot

    Run It Hot Hot Hot
    Aug 23 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the surprising Jackson Hole speech in which Powell opened up to interest rate cuts already in September. Markets are reacting strongly, but the real question is what should we expect if Trump runs the economy hot alongside a dovish Fed in 2026?
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    35 mins
  • Is The Fed Ready To Capitulate Dovish?

    Is The Fed Ready To Capitulate Dovish?
    Aug 8 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the weak labor market data and the likely Fed reaction function. The duo also reflects on how you might be right on the macro idea, but market pricing at inception of your trade matters sometimes more than whether you were directionally right or wrong.
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    34 mins