Episodes

  • What are “Reserve Management Operation Purchases,” and when will investors be gifted this latest form of socialism for the rich?

    What are “Reserve Management Operation Purchases,” and when will investors be gifted this latest form of socialism for the rich?
    Nov 26 2025
    Today, Darius explores the emerging “RMOP” regime — a stealth form of quantitative easing that may arrive sooner than markets expect. Darius explains why the Fed is preparing to shift from QT to balance-sheet expansion, how repo-market stress is forcing policymakers’ hands, and what this means for risk assets, liquidity trends, and the Paradigm C bull market.
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    10 mins
  • How is the US economy performing?

    How is the US economy performing?
    Nov 25 2025
    Today’s Macro Minute breaks down why the U.S. economy is slipping deeper into a U-shaped slowdown while sticky inflation refuses to fade — and why a Fed that’s falling behind the rate and liquidity curves is raising crash risks into year-end.
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    8 mins
  • Will the Fed engineer the Santa Claus rally that everyone is already positioned for?

    Will the Fed engineer the Santa Claus rally that everyone is already positioned for?
    Nov 24 2025
    A stalled data pipeline, a backward-looking Fed, and rising uncertainty ahead of the December meeting — today Darius breaks down why a Santa Claus rally isn’t guaranteed and why disciplined, systematic risk management matters more than ever.
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    8 mins
  • Is the US labor market getting better or worse?

    Is the US labor market getting better or worse?
    Nov 20 2025
    Today’s Macro Minute breaks down why the labor market is sending mixed signals and how that ambiguity is shaping the Fed’s December decision. Darius unpacks the implications of a policy stance that is neither tight enough to restore affordability nor easy enough to generate broad-based prosperity, and explain why that imbalance continues to drive volatility across households, sectors, and markets.
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    14 mins
  • Why are crypto and commodities breaking down?

    Why are crypto and commodities breaking down?
    Nov 19 2025
    Crypto and commodities are breaking down as early stress signals emerge in the global liquidity cycle. Today’s Macro Minute breaks down why assets furthest out on the risk spectrum are getting hit first, how the Fed’s stumbles are feeding the move, and what KISS and Dr. Mo are signaling as positioning risks rise.
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    12 mins
  • Why are risk assets correcting?

    Why are risk assets correcting?
    Nov 18 2025
    Risk assets are under pressure as the Fed falls further behind the interest-rate and repo-liquidity curves. Home Depot’s warning on big-ticket spending, softening labor-market signals, and shutdown-delayed data have all tightened the macro weather. With crowded positioning elevated and rate-cut odds slipping below 50%, markets face growing near-term turbulence.
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    16 mins
  • Will this week’s key macro and micro data derail asset markets?

    Will this week’s key macro and micro data derail asset markets?
    Nov 17 2025
    Darius Dale breaks down a pivotal week for markets as delayed economic data finally returns, major earnings hit the tape, and traders grapple with a firmer Fed tone. He explains why the Macro Weather Model is flashing near-term headwinds, how shifting rate-cut odds are reshaping risk, and why this environment puts a spotlight on avoiding type-two errors.
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    13 mins
  • Is the global liquidity cycle rolling over?

    Is the global liquidity cycle rolling over?
    Nov 14 2025
    Today’s Macro Minute focuses on the early signs of a global liquidity rollover as markets increasingly price in a hawkish shift from the Fed and China pulls back on monetary support. With the sell-off accelerating and volatility rising, Darius emphasized that these risks make systematic discipline more important than ever.
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    7 mins