Sweet Spot for Bonds and Navigating Equity Pullbacks
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Sweet Spot for Bonds and Navigating Equity Pullbacks
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About this listen
Rates & Fed Policy: Markets are overly optimistic on rate cuts; inflation remains sticky, keeping the Fed cautious (DeepMacro).
Equity Positioning: Systematic funds are heavily tilted toward equities, with allocations at or near record highs (MenthorQ).
China Equities: Narrowing gap between H-shares and A-shares signals opportunity; liquidity and household cash provide strong support (HSBC).
Market Breadth: Short-term indicators are overbought, but long-term breadth remains healthy (Dantes Outlook).
Fixed Income: Attractive yields unlikely to return to pre-pandemic lows; belly of the curve (5–6 year maturities) offers a balance of income and rate risk (Vanguard).
Municipals & Credit: Municipal bonds and investment-grade credit stand out as high-quality, inexpensive options.
Equities: Active managers struggle against the Magnificent Seven; indexing provides a strong foundation, while Industrials, Financials, and Healthcare offer selective momentum opportunities (Morningstar, Dantes Outlook).
Takeaway: Stay disciplined, revisit bond allocations, and avoid overstretching for yield or risk.