Sweet Scoop: Brazil's Bumper Crop Sends Sugar Prices Tumbling
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Sweet Scoop: Brazil's Bumper Crop Sends Sugar Prices Tumbling
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About this listen
This is your Daily Sugar Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.
Welcome to the Daily Sugar Price Tracker, I am Vanessa Clark, bringing you the latest on anything and everything sugar, from today’s market numbers to the forces shaping the global sugar supply. Thanks for joining me on this Monday, October twenty-seventh, twenty twenty-five.
Let’s kick things off with the headline everyone’s searching for: today’s sugar price. Sugar futures have dropped sharply, settling at fourteen point four eight cents per pound. That is down three point two nine percent just from yesterday, and, staggering as it sounds, sugar prices have now fallen over thirty-four percent compared to this time last year, hitting levels we have not seen since March twenty twenty-one. The last time sugar was this low was over four and a half years ago, so this is a historic market moment for the sweet commodity.
If you’re wondering why sugar prices are tumbling, look no further than Brazil. Brazil is the world’s top producer and exporter of sugar and a major swing factor for global prices. This season, Brazilian mills are producing record amounts of sugar. According to market analysts, Brazil’s Center-South region alone saw sugar output jump almost eleven percent in late September compared to last year, with over half of the sugarcane now being processed for sugar rather than ethanol fuel.
Why the big switch to sugar production? Thanks to a boom in cheaper corn-based ethanol, Brazilian mills are less inclined to produce ethanol from sugarcane. Instead, they’re diverting cane to sugar, causing a worldwide supply glut that is pushing prices steadily downward. In fact, industry consultancy Datagro now forecasts that the world sugar market will swing to a surplus of nearly two million tons in the twenty twenty-five to twenty twenty-six season—a massive turnaround from the deficit seen just a year ago.
But Brazil is not the only factor. Favorable monsoon rains in India and crop expansion in Thailand are also contributing to high global sugar output. With so much sugar on the market, it’s no wonder futures have slumped more than twenty-two percent over this year alone.
How does all this affect you? If you are involved in food production, retail, or even just curious about grocery prices, keep an eye out for more stable or even lower prices for products containing sugar—at least in the short term. For buyers, this could be a good time to lock in sugar contracts. For growers, especially outside of Brazil, this downturn means tighter margins and tough decisions ahead. If you’re following sugar for investment, note that while global prices are sliding, sugar prices in regions like the US remain relatively firm due to local demand and supply conditions.
And for those tracking longer-term trends, analysts expect sugar may hover close to these lows for a while, with forecasts suggesting prices will remain below fifteen cents per pound for the coming months as new supplies keep rolling in.
That wraps up today’s episode of the Daily Sugar Price Tracker. As always, I am Vanessa Clark, and I hope today’s insights help you stay ahead of the curve, whether you are buying, selling, or just following the sugar market for the latest twists and turns. Be sure to subscribe so you never miss a sweet update, and tune in tomorrow for more news and perspectives you can put to use. Thanks for listening, and have a wonderful evening.
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