
Radical life extension: A fading dream or future reality?
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About this listen
Recent studies challenge the notion of radical life extension, suggesting we may be approaching biological limits. Analysis of mortality rates from 1990-2019 shows a slowdown in life expectancy growth across most populations. Only South Korea and Hong Kong briefly achieved the 0.3-year annual increase considered 'radical'. Experts estimate less than 15% of females and 5% of males may reach 100 years old this century without significant breakthroughs in aging biology. However, hope remains in emerging fields like geroscience and AI. As humans have historically overcome limits, the quest for extended lifespans continues, balancing scientific skepticism with technological optimism.
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