Nasdaq vs. Bitcoin: Surviving the 200-Day Breakdown
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Nasdaq vs. Bitcoin: Surviving the 200-Day Breakdown
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Summary
The Nasdaq just broke its 200-day moving average. In 2022, that was the signal for a 35% collapse. Is history repeating?
Mike and Ryan dive into the "Complacency Trap," why the war in Iran is actually a strategic play for China’s oil, and the onchain data suggesting Bitcoin hasn't hit "Deep Value" yet. They also break down the 2022 analog, the 6.4% mortgage rate reality, and why the "Trump Prize" won't save the markets this time.
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
1:43 Market Complacency & The War in Iran
7:45 Geopolitical Implications of Oil
10:04 The US-China Connection
13:26 Lessons from 2022
16:44 On-Chain Bitcoin Insights
22:14 Risk Asset Market Psychology
26:33 ETF Inflows and Market Health
28:54 Bitcoin Price Targets
32:44 TDR Portfolio Update
33:56 Patience in Bear Markets
36:28 Closing & Disclaimers
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.