Microsoft AI chief Mustafa Suleyman says most white-collar tasks will be fully automated within 12 to 18 months. Dario Amodei describes a near-future "country of geniuses in a data center." Every major AI leader is landing on the same window. We unpack each prediction, test it against our consulting experience, and break down what this means for knowledge workers right now.

What we cover:
Suleyman's 12-18 month prediction for knowledge work automation
Why his team's reaction on X was hilarious
Amodei's "country of geniuses in a data center" concept
Why AI will solve problems humanity never could
The convergence: Altman, Musk, Hassabis all on similar timelines
Our experience: clients say "AI can't do this" and we prove them wrong every time
90% of knowledge work is automatable today with current tools
The "write your tasks on paper" test
Jobs displaced last: medical, physical labor, human interaction roles
Robotics is about 1 year behind AI developments
New pricing models: charging AI like an employee
From individual contributor to agent director
How to compress 5 days of work into 1
Why people who never wanted to manage can thrive with agents
The career path is changing right now

Key Stats:
Suleyman: 12-18 months for full knowledge work automation
Amodei: "country of geniuses" by ~2027
1 trillionfold increase in training compute over last 15 years
Another 1,000x increase expected in next 3 years
Amodei: 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs at risk in 1-5 years
Goldman Sachs: net AI job losses to "increase meaningfully" in 2026
Stuart Russell: leaders confronting possibility of 80% unemployment
Most software engineers now use AI for majority of code production

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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro: AI predictions from 12 months to 3 years out
0:30 Suleyman's 12-18 month prediction for knowledge work
1:00 His team's hilarious reactions on X
1:30 The boldest prediction yet from any AI leader
2:00 Altman, Amodei, Hassabis, Musk all converging
2:30 Even today you can automate most knowledge work
3:00 The "write your tasks on paper" exercise
3:30 10% is the only piece AI can't do yet
4:00 We keep telling clients "actually, it can do that"
4:30 Dario Amodei's recent podcast and essay
5:00 "Country of geniuses in a data center" explained
5:30 One prompt to pick up your entire job
6:00 AI solving medical, math, and spacetime problems
6:30 Where it lands (US vs. other countries) matters
7:00 Jobs displaced last: medical and physical labor
7:30 Robotics about 1 year behind AI
8:00 New pricing models: AI charged like an employee
8:30 How many jobs are at risk from this
9:00 What this means for knowledge workers right now
9:30 Don't wait for the company to automate your job
10:00 Become the director of agents
10:30 Individual contributors and agent management
11:00 Compress 5 days of work into 1
11:30 The career path is changing now

AI predictions 2026, Mustafa Suleyman, Dario Amodei, knowledge work automation, AI jobs, What About AI, country of geniuses, future of work, agent management

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