John & Tyler go over the Carta Q3 Pre-Seed Analysis, Early Stage Trends, VC, SaaS
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About this listen
(00:00:00) The "Unicorn Whirlpool" and the dangers of raising too much too early
(00:01:06) Welcome to the show: A cold December in Utah
(00:02:06) Icebreaker: The fastest way to lose a $500k pre-seed round
(00:03:26) Icebreaker: A founder's true superpower is understanding the customer
(00:04:07) Icebreaker: A pitch deck is not complete without a Go-to-Market strategy
(00:07:23) Icebreaker: The one slide we would ban from pitch decks forever
(00:10:42) Icebreaker: When do we know a founder is going to be successful?
(00:14:48) Decoding the Data: Carta’s Q3 2025 State of Pre-Seed Report
(00:17:14) Data Insight: Pre-seed funding declined by cash raised and deal count
(00:19:25) Data Insight: The "Barbell Market" (Tiny rounds vs. Monster rounds)
(00:27:04) Data Insight: How many checks does it really take to fill a round?
(00:28:41) A warning against taking small checks from non-accredited investors
(00:31:54) Data Insight: The absolute dominance of SAFEs over convertible notes
(00:36:46) Data Insight: Geography still matters (The West Coast dominates)
(00:41:28) Data Insight: SaaS is still King (and the Gartner Hype Cycle)
(00:47:25) Why John and Tyler stick to Pre-Seed investing despite the risks
(00:50:21) Summary: Capital is concentrated, disciplined, and tethered to traction
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