Before we can understand what’s happening between Israel and Lebanon, we need to understand Hezbollah.

Because Hezbollah is not just a militia.

It’s a system.

Part military.
Part political.
Part economic.

And it sits at the center of power inside Lebanon.

In this episode, Avi Kaner breaks down:

What Hezbollah is and how it was formed
How it grew from a militant group into a dominant force
Its financial networks and global reach
Its backing from the Iranian regime
What it is doing in Lebanon today

And why, without Hezbollah, Lebanon and Israel might look very different.

Shared geography.
Shared economic interests.
Even shared people, including a historic Lebanese Jewish community and diaspora.

This is not just a conflict story.

It’s a power structure.

At 8 PM, the United States set a clear deadline: reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face consequences.

The Iranian regime complied.

Oil dropped. Markets rallied.

But attacks continued.

So what actually happened?

In this episode, Avi Kaner breaks down why the Strait reopening was real, but the system behind it did not fully align.

Who is actually calling the shots inside the Iranian regime
Why compliance didn’t cost much but revealed a limit.
Why attacks continue even after agreement.
What markets are telling us about risk.

A clock is now part of the conflict.

At 8 PM Eastern, a public deadline set by the United States expires. Make a deal or face targeted strikes within hours.

But a deeper question is emerging:

Who is the United States actually negotiating with?

This episode breaks down:

Why deadlines compress decisions
Why they increase risk
Why power inside the Iranian regime may not sit with its public leaders
And how that changes what happens next

This is not just about the deadline.

It’s about who controls the response.