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HCM Market Brief

HCM Market Brief

By: HCM Wealth Advisors & CPAs
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Doug Johnson CFA and Dan Rinck discuss current market trends and activities.

HCM Wealth Advisors & CPAs
Economics Personal Finance
Episodes
  • Markets Shrug Off Geopolitics: Iran Tensions, Oil Volatility & the Power of the V-Shaped Recovery
    Apr 16 2026

    In this episode of the Market Brief Podcast, Doug Johnson and Dan Rink break down the latest developments in the ongoing Iran conflict and what it means for global markets. They explore the strategic implications of escalating maritime tensions, including the unprecedented “blockade of a blockade,” and how these moves could impact oil supply, pricing, and the broader geopolitical landscape.

    Despite the uncertainty overseas, markets have shown remarkable resilience. Doug and Dan discuss why oil prices remain range-bound, why futures markets suggest the conflict may be short-lived, and how energy stocks are already signaling a lack of long-term concern. They also examine the equity market’s rapid V-shaped recovery, highlighting how investor behavior has shifted in recent years—and why this pattern may not always hold.

    The conversation dives into key market indicators, including breadth, sector leadership, and the importance of watching for confirmation signals as stocks approach all-time highs. They compare today’s environment to past periods like 2022 and 2025, offering perspective on how bear markets typically unfold versus the unusually fast recoveries investors have recently experienced.

    Inflation remains a central focus, with the hosts explaining why current energy price spikes are unlikely to recreate the conditions that led to the 2022 surge. They also discuss interest rates, bond market dynamics, and what it would take for yields to meaningfully disrupt equities.

    Finally, the episode touches on recent concerns in private credit markets, unpacking the reality of liquidity mismatches and why investor expectations may not align with how these products are designed to function.

    With a balanced, data-driven approach, Doug and Dan outline how they are positioning portfolios today—remaining neutral while closely monitoring whether this rally has staying power or is at risk of fading.

    Plus, a fun closing segment on the return of playoff hockey and why there’s nothing quite like the intensity of the NHL postseason.

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    39 mins
  • Market Volatility, Iran Tensions & Investor Strategy: Navigating Uncertainty Without Panic
    Mar 31 2026

    In this episode of the Market Brief, Doug Johnson and Dan Rinck are joined by Greg Middendorf to address rising client concerns amid market volatility driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The conversation focuses on separating emotional reactions from disciplined investment decision-making and provides a clear framework for navigating uncertainty.

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    39 mins
  • Geopolitics, Oil Shocks & Private Credit Fears: What’s Really Driving Markets in 2026
    Mar 19 2026

    In this episode of the HCM Market Brief, Doug Johnson and Dan Rinck break down two of the most important—and widely discussed—forces currently influencing markets: escalating tensions involving Iran and growing scrutiny around private credit and private equity. While headlines have been intense, the conversation focuses on separating noise from signal and identifying what truly matters for investors.

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    37 mins
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