Grounds for Concern: Bitter Brew as Coffee Prices Soar
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Grounds for Concern: Bitter Brew as Coffee Prices Soar
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About this listen
This is your Daily Coffee Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.
Hello and welcome back to the Daily Coffee Price Tracker. I’m Vanessa Clark, and today is Thursday, October thirtieth, twenty twenty-five. If you’re tuning in for the first time, this is your daily guide to what’s brewing in the world of coffee prices, the stories behind those numbers, and what it all means whether you’re a coffee trader, a café owner, or just a dedicated home barista looking to understand why your favorite roast might cost a little more this month.
Let’s get right to the headline. As of today, the current trading price for coffee stands at around three hundred ninety-two US cents per pound. That’s just over three dollars and ninety cents, which marks a slight increase—up about zero point three percent from yesterday. Over the past month, coffee prices have climbed about two percent, but here’s the real eye-opener: prices are nearly sixty percent higher than this time last year.
Why the surge? Supply and demand are both in the spotlight, with a heavy emphasis on supply issues this week. First, the world’s biggest producer, Brazil, is in the midst of a severe drought, especially in the key growing region of Minas Gerais. Reports indicate rainfall totals there are at their lowest point in four years, threatening both the current flowering season and next year’s crop. Analysts warn this could reduce overall production well into the twenty twenty-six and twenty twenty-seven seasons.
On top of climate concerns, US trade policy is also a big story. The fifty percent tariff on Brazilian coffee imports remains in place, dramatically cutting Brazil’s shipments to the US. With about a third of all unroasted coffee in America coming from Brazil, the pressure on inventories is intense. ICE-monitored stocks of arabica beans are at the lowest levels we’ve seen in a year and a half. These low inventory numbers are making traders skittish and fueling price gains for both arabica and robusta beans.
Meanwhile, Vietnam—the world’s largest source of robusta coffee—is expecting a strong harvest and increasing exports. This is helping balance out some of the shortages on the global market, but it hasn’t been enough to fully counter the tightness we’re seeing in arabica supplies, which are more directly affected by the drought in Brazil.
For coffee drinkers and business owners, these market dynamics are translating into higher shelf prices. The US Labor Department recently reported that the average price for a pound of ground coffee has jumped forty-one percent year over year, now sitting at nine dollars and fourteen cents. In coffee shops, a regular cup is averaging about three dollars and fifty-four cents, and specialty drinks are up even more, reflecting not just the bean shortfall but also rising costs for labor and supplies.
If you’re a café operator or manage a coffee program, these are challenging times. Some local shop owners are responding by switching up their sourcing, roasting more beans in-house, or trimming menu costs elsewhere. For home brewers, paying attention to price trends could help you stock up when prices stabilize or look into alternative origins that are less affected by tariffs or weather.
Globally, the coffee trade is adapting and evolving. Recent reports suggest major producers and exporters are watching climate patterns and trade negotiations closely, as everyone waits for clarity about tariffs and hopes for much-needed rain in Brazil. Looking even further ahead, if current trends hold, we may see additional volatility through the end of the year and into twenty twenty-six.
That’s it for today’s coffee price update. I hope you found these insights helpful—whether you’re buying beans by the bag, the pallet, or just the cup. If you want to stay up to date on coffee market news, pricing trends, and practical tips to get the most out of your coffee budget, make sure to subscribe and join me again tomorrow on Daily Coffee Price Tracker. Thanks for listening, and until next time, wishing you great coffee and even greater mornings.
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