Gold Breaks $4,000: What’s Driving the Rally and What Comes Next
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About this listen
In this episode of The Pod of Gold, Nicholas Frappell, Global Head of Institutional Markets at ABC Refinery, unpacks gold’s explosive surge through US $4,000/oz — a milestone that’s reshaping market sentiment and investor positioning around the world.
Recorded on Wednesday, 8 October 2025, this special short-form episode explores the macro and technical forces behind gold’s breakout and what traders should watch for next.
📈 Frappell also examines:
- Why the US$4,000 mark is a psychological and technical milestone for gold investors
- The macro drivers behind the rally — from fiscal dominance and rising debt pressures to shifting Fed policy
- The impact of the US government shutdown on positioning data and market sentimentWhat to expect when Chinese markets reopen after the holidays
- Point & Figure targets pointing toward near-term resistance at US$4,073–4,172
- Ichimoku Cloud analysis and distant support levels near US$3,671 and US$3,576
- How round-number psychology and short-term volatility could shape the next phase of gold’s run
🕒 Timestamps:
- (00:00) – Introduction
- (00:33) – Gold marches through US$4,000
- (01:22) – The macro backdrop
- (03:38) – Positioning & ETF inflows amid the US government shutdown
- (05:38) – Technical outlook: Short-term risks and what to watch as China reopens
- (06:42) – Point & Figure analysis
- (07:32) – Ichimoku Cloud weekly big picture
- (08:27) – Summary and what’s ahead at IMARC 2025
🔗 More Resources:
- Visit: https://www.abcrefinery.com/podcast
- Follow Nick Frappell: https://twitter.com/nick_frappell
- Follow Shae Russell: https://twitter.com/shaearussell
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