The recent political unrest in Bangladesh and the subsequent resignation of Sheikh Hasina have raised concerns about the political future of the country as well as the international implications. The unrest, sparked by discontent over a government job quota system, had led to a nationwide curfew and internet shutdowns. But this crisis extends beyond the borders of Bangladesh, influencing its trade relations and geopolitical stance, particularly with neighbouring India and China. Bangladesh, a significant player in South Asian trade, is now navigating a delicate path. Its ties with India, a major trading partner, could be strained as instability hampers economic activities and disrupts supply chains. Meanwhile, China, which has been increasing its influence in the region through infrastructure investments and trade agreements, may see this as an opportunity to further its strategic interests, which is a major concern for India. Join us as we analyse these developments, their impact on regional dynamics, and the potential ripple effects on global trade.

Speaker: Dr. D Dhanuraj, CPPR

Moderator: Maalavika A, Research Associate, CPPR

Discussion Points

• How is the current situation going to affect India's neighbourhood relations and its Neighbourhood First Policy?

• What would India’s stance be if Bangladesh develops closer relations with China?

• How is Indo-Bangladesh trade going to be affected due to the recent developments?

• Will the recent events cause a shift in global apparel production and if so, will India have the opportunity and the resources to fill the void left by Bangladesh?