Bitcoin Surges 8 Percent in Early 2026 as Traders Eye 100K by End of January

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Bitcoin Surges 8 Percent in Early 2026 as Traders Eye 100K by End of January

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Crypto Success: Bitcoin Trading & Investment Strategies podcast.

# Bitcoin's Bullish Start to 2026: What You Need to Know

Hey everyone, it's Crypto Willy here, and we've got some seriously exciting momentum building in the crypto space right now. Let's dive into what's been happening this past week.

Bitcoin kicked off 2026 with serious strength, climbing roughly 8% since New Year's Day and hitting levels we haven't seen since early December. According to Bitcoin Magazine, BTC started the year near $87,400 on January 1st and has since rallied to around $94,100, with intraday highs touching $94,352. That $91,000 level that was holding us back in late December? Yeah, that's now acting as support, which is exactly what we want to see.

Here's where it gets really interesting—traders are actually targeting $100,000 by the end of January. Coinbase's Deribit derivatives exchange is showing that open interest is heavily skewed toward options expiring January 30th with a $100,000 strike price. That's a psychological milestone we're genuinely close to hitting, and according to data from CoinGlass, Bitcoin has averaged 3.92% gains in January since 2013, so historical patterns are actually working in our favor this year.

The fuel driving this rally? Multiple factors converging perfectly. Institutional capital is flooding in—Bitcoin ETFs started 2026 with over $1 billion in gains, and according to Bitwise's analysis, we're seeing ETFs purchasing more than 100% of new Bitcoin supply. That's institutional-grade demand we're talking about. Macroeconomic tailwinds are helping too, with the Federal Reserve likely holding interest rates steady, which makes riskier assets like Bitcoin more attractive to investors.

Some serious players are getting bold with their predictions. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, expects Bitcoin to hit $200,000 by March—that would nearly double the crypto market to just over $4 trillion. Katherine Dowling from the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company is calling for $150,000 by the end of 2026, citing the positive regulatory groundwork laid in the US during 2025, including that landmark stablecoin bill.

Beyond Bitcoin, the broader crypto narrative is shifting. Stablecoins are becoming what experts are calling "the internet's dollar," backed by institutions like Wells Fargo and Merrill Lynch expanding their offerings. Real-world asset tokenization is moving from experimental to mainstream, with heavyweight players like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs backing projects that promise enhanced liquidity and faster settlement times.

If we break above that $94,600 resistance level, momentum could accelerate toward $100,000, followed by the next key resistance near $107,500. But here's the reality check—if we pull back sharply from resistance and drop below the moving averages, we could get range-bound between $84,000 and $94,600 for a longer stretch.

The takeaway? We're in a fundamentally different market than we were a year ago. This isn't just retail speculation anymore—institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and infrastructure development are reshaping how crypto integrates into traditional finance.

Thanks so much for tuning in this week! Make sure you come back next week for more market insights and trading strategies. This has been a Quiet Please production—for more deep dives into crypto and blockchain, check out quietplease.ai.

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