A new tool, with code written by an AI model, has gone omega-viral: Claude Cowork. But is the hype justified? What do the stats say on productivity? Where is the truth in a sea of noise? What is truth? Can we handle the truth? Where's Nemo?

https://matsprogram.org/s26-aie


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Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:12 - Claude Cowork
06:48 - Productivity Speed-up + jobs
09:33 - Comparing Models
12:00 - Brittle AI Paper

Cowork Intro: https://x.com/claudeai/thread/2010805682434666759

'All of it': https://x.com/bcherny/status/2010813886052581538

'AGI' Claims: https://x.com/deepfates/status/2004994698335879383

Douglas Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOsNrV3bXtQ&t=2313s

Job Stats: https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Evidence-of-an-AI-driven-shakeup-of-job-markets-is-patchy.pdf
Amodei Prediction: https://fortune.com/2025/05/28/anthropic-ceo-warning-ai-job-loss/

GenAI Traffic: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2009075877347512545

Illusion of Insight: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.00514
Entropy Exploration: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.14758
ProRL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.24864

Genesis Mission: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/11/launching-the-genesis-mission/
https://deepmind.google/blog/how-were-supporting-better-tropical-cyclone-prediction-with-ai/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/