Jason and his investment counselor Carrie address a range of investment strategies and market trends, providing insights into the benefits and drawbacks of various options, such as home warranties, short-term and long-term rentals, and cryptocurrencies. They also emphasized the advantages of residential properties over commercial ones and recommended a hybrid self-management plan for property owners. Furthermore, they introduced the resources available to Empowered Investor Pro members, including access to past Zoom Meetings and a community software. The pair also discussed potential issues with triple net leases and advised clients to seek professional advice.

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Discover the fascinating history behind the influential Laffer curve with the renowned economist #ArthurLaffer. This curve played a pivotal role in the Reagan revolution, transforming global economics. Dive into the concept that excess taxation can hinder government revenue, unraveling the counterintuitive nature of economics.

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And today's conversation is between Jason and Arthur Laffer which covers a range of topics related to taxation and economics. They begin by discussing Arthur's Laffer curve concept, which explores the relationship between tax rates and tax revenues. They also examine the impact of tax policies on different groups in society and the economy. The discussion then shifted to the effects of tax policies on property markets, using California's Prop 13 as an example. Finally, they discuss the political career of former President Reagan, highlighting his leadership style and adaptability.

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Jason welcomes Mike Maloney. He talks about his book "The Great Gold and Silver Rush of the 20th Century," and presents a chart showing the price of a can of Campbell's soup under the gold standard from 1895 to 2025. Jason also introduced the Hartman Comparison Index and the concept of pricing items in commodities. Mike and Jason discuss the unrealized gains and losses on investment securities, the current state of the stock market, the history of financing and real estate, the concept of hedonic adjustment used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the cycle of long-term interest rates, corporate bankruptcies, and the economic situation. They also discussed the use of gold as a safe haven asset and the potential for an economic collapse.

https://ggsr21.com/

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Jason interviews Michael Zuber, author of ‘One Rental at a Time’, about the real estate financial market. They discuss Michael’s philosophy of incremental progress in real estate investing and his recent move from California to Las Vegas. Michael emphasized data-driven decisions and presented a ’53 year spreadsheet’ to track real estate market data since 1970. They also discuss the impact of interest rates on the real estate market and made adjustments to a spreadsheet. Towards the end, they discuss the home price appreciation rate, the effect of leverage and inflation rates, and the future of the housing market.

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Jason welcomes Joshua Simon, founder of Simon Commercial Real Estate, as they discuss the state of commercial real estate. Josh highlights the strength of retail, especially in open-air strip centers and grocery-anchored spaces. Simon emphasized the retail renaissance, citing low vacancy rates and increased demand. Industrial properties faced challenges due to overbuilding, particularly in larger formats. Simon recommended investing in debt instruments or high-yielding retail assets, focusing on quick-service restaurants with strong operators and understanding lease structures. He also noted the value in acquiring vacant spaces from struggling tenants due to the scarcity of real estate.

https://SimonCRE.com/

#CommercialRealEstate #RetailRenaissance #IndustrialProperty #InvestmentStrategy

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Jason talks about the importance of understanding the relationship between household real estate value, mortgage debt, and GDP. The presented chart indicates increased equity and decreased mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP, highlighting a more stable housing market. He touches on the benefits of leveraging properties and he analyzes a chart on median sold prices based on bedroom count, revealing significant appreciation in lower-priced properties.

Jason welcomes Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, as they discuss the current state of the real estate market. Despite concerns about rising interest rates, Kiefer highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy, emphasizing the stability of the housing market throughout 2023. While acknowledging a potential slowdown in consumer spending due to higher rates, Kiefer pointed out that the housing market has seen low transaction volumes and reduced refinance activity, impacting affordability. He also discussed the unique situation of homeowners with ultra-low mortgage rates, estimating the value of their locked-in rates at around $55,000 per borrower. Kiefer predicted a gradual thawing of the market as consumers adapt to the new interest rate environment. He also underscored the importance of considering broader economic factors and demographic trends in understanding the housing market's dynamics.

#RealEstate #HousingMarket #EconomicOutlook #Millennials #HousingMarket #RealEstate #EconomicAnalysis

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Jason welcomes Selma Hepp, the Chief Economist of Core Logic. They discuss the challenging state of the real estate market and noted that the market was facing issues due to rising mortgage rates, which led to a decline in transactions and mortgage refinances. Additionally, she highlighted that existing homeowners were benefiting from this situation due to their low mortgage rates and increasing equity. Selma also pointed out that the volume of home sales was down by 18% last year and was expected to decline by a similar amount this year, while mortgage origins were likely to be down by 30-35%. She also mentioned that the inventory of available homes for sale was at its lowest level historically, a quarter of where it was before the great recession. Despite this challenging market, Selma didn’t expect much change until the spring of next year.

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Michael Zuber talks to Jason about the housing market and the potential for a housing crash. Jason provides insights into why a housing crash hasn’t occurred so far, emphasizing the need for millions of distressed sellers as a key ingredient for a crash. He also mentions that people who predict crashes often lack a comprehensive understanding of economic cycles and are influenced by past traumatic events like the 2007-2008 housing crash.

Additionally, the conversation touches on unemployment and its potential impact on the housing market, with Jason arguing that banks are more likely to work with homeowners than rush to foreclose, especially if they have substantial equity in their properties. The discussion also briefly mentions the role of technology companies in the economy and the concept of leveraging in real estate.

Overall, the conversation focuses on the factors affecting the housing market’s stability and the likelihood of a housing crash, with a critical view of those who sensationalize such predictions for personal gain.

#HousingTrends #Economy #HousingMarket #EconomicCycles

Key Takeaways:

1:29 Packaged Commodities Investments are doing very well

3:00 Why the housing market hasn’t crashed just yet

5:56 The ONE ingredient one MUST have for a housing crash and profiles of a Crash bro

8:21 Don’t be lazy; study more than one recession

10:16 Very low inventory plus unemployment and it’s insurance

15:45 Median monthly mortgage payment & number of mortgages by interest rate and foreclosure timelines

19:39 Altos Research inventory numbers

23:38 Drop in activity- not north of 6M homes for a decade

25:58 The FED looks like it’s forcing a recession

32:43 A crystal ball on rate cuts and book recommendation

35:49 Jobs growth and some thoughts on the future of the economy

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Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
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