The World Economic Forum just released a framework mapping four possible futures for the global job market by 2030. Two variables determine which scenario we get: AI advancement speed and workforce readiness. The combinations produce four outcomes — and based on what we're seeing on the ground, we're headed toward the one nobody wants.

What we cover:

The WEF's four scenarios: Supercharged Progress, Age of Displacement, Co-Pilot Economy, Stalled Progress
Where we are right now based on our consulting experience
Why most companies aren't ready (and some think we rigged our demos)
The AI plateau that never happened
New chipsets already in warehouses that haven't been deployed yet
Davos 2026: Hassabis, Amodei, Musk, and Suleyman on timelines
Microsoft AI chief's 12-18 month prediction for knowledge work
Knowledge work vs. physical labor: different timelines, same destination
Why physical labor disruption will move FASTER when it arrives
The virtualization analogy: why bottlenecks always get solved
AI building itself: ChatGPT 5.3, Claude Opus 4.6
The business readiness inflection point: 2-3 years
What to do whether you're an individual or a company

Key Stats:

WEF: 170M new roles created, 92M displaced, net +78M by 2030
54% of executives expect AI to displace jobs
83% of organizations at low AI maturity
40% of skills required for jobs expected to change
AI role wages up 27% since 2019
2/3 of CSOs expect AI to shape strategy in next 5 years
Only 1% of 2025 layoffs were due to AI productivity gains

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TIMESTAMPS
00:00 - World Economic Forum take on business readiness
00:45 - What we are seeing from the business world
03:00 - AI is still continuing to progress at an exponential rate
03:55 - How various combinations of industry/size are responding
04:55 - How close or far are we from AI plateauing capability-wise
06:20 - Why the physical world may actually be disrupted even faster
07:30 - Comparing the technology lifecycle curve to virtualization era
08:25 - Discussion on a potential ‘AI bubble’ or potential bottlenecks
10:20 - What we think is coming in terms of business readiness

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