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Standard Deviations

Flawed Assumptions, Tortured Data, and Other Ways to Lie with Statistics
Narrated by: Tim Andres Pabon
Length: 9 hrs and 20 mins
4.5 out of 5 stars (12 ratings)

Non-member price: $30.74

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Publisher's Summary

Did you know that baseball players whose names begin with the letter "D" are more likely to die young? Or that Asian Americans are most susceptible to heart attacks on the fourth day of the month? Or that drinking a full pot of coffee every morning will add years to your life, but one cup a day increases the risk of pancreatic cancer? All of these "facts" have been argued with a straight face by credentialed researchers and backed up with reams of data and convincing statistics.

As Nobel Prize-winning economist Ronald Coase once cynically observed, "If you torture data long enough, it will confess." Lying with statistics is a time-honored con. In Standard Deviations, economics professor Gary Smith walks us through the various tricks and traps that people use to back up their own crackpot theories. Sometimes, the unscrupulous deliberately try to mislead us. Other times, the well-intentioned are blissfully unaware of the mischief they are committing. Today, data is so plentiful that researchers spend precious little time distinguishing between good, meaningful indicators and total rubbish. Not only do others use data to fool us, we fool ourselves.

With the breakout success of Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise, the once humdrum subject of statistics has never been hotter. Drawing on breakthrough research in behavioral economics by luminaries like Daniel Kahneman and Dan Ariely and taking to task some of the conclusions of Freakonomics author Steven D. Levitt, Standard Deviations demystifies the science behind statistics and makes it easy to spot the fraud all around.

©2015 Gary Smith (P)2016 Gildan Media LLC

Critic Reviews

"A very entertaining book about a very serious problem. We deceive ourselves all the time with statistics, and it is time we wised up." (Robert J. Shiller, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics)

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How could I?

This program is not bad pig not bad! But if you know what is good for you, you will read this book while eating bacon.

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  • Andreas Johansson
  • 11-08-2017

Good read for all empiricist

I have a MSc in statistics, and I have seen countless examples of miss-used statistics in medicine and economics. This book offers a great overview of the most common pitfalls, including several examples of each.

5 people found this helpful

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  • Tom
  • 08-03-2017

Great examples of failing to understand methodology and lying with stats.

This book will help you become a skeptical consumer of stats and the conclusions drawn from them.

3 people found this helpful

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  • Amazon Customer
  • 27-09-2018

Great and informational audio book

Great book about the assumptions that we make and ties together many differnet fields with statistics. Also great narrator!

1 person found this helpful

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  • A. Yoshida
  • 10-02-2020

Good Introduction on Misinterpretation of Data

The book provides an excellent introduction on the misinterpretation/misuse of data and statistics. For example, it is often cited that college graduates earn more money than high school graduates. But the fallacy of that thinking is that college graduates are self-selected; they choose to attend college and so the difference isn't just having a college degree (which result in a higher compensation). After all, billionaires like Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, and Mark Zuckerberg became rich despite not having a college degree (quite big exceptions to that statement). The book included some cautionary tales to illustrate a point but wasn't related to data. For example, the book described how Sir Arthur Conan Doyle (author of the Sherlock Holmes stories) believed in paranormal activity despite his friends' explanation on how the scams worked. Eventually, that transitioned to studies into paranormal activity and how researchers cherry picked the data that supported the theory and "explained away" the data that didn't support it.

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  • Jan Madsen
  • 25-02-2018

Good but stumbles on macro economics

Very good read and certainly recommendable. Just ignore the "USA can print money to pay off its debt" nonsense in the Reinhart & Rogoff section.

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  • CalebThomas
  • 03-01-2018

Not a beach read. But worth it

This book highlights all the ways people misuse statistics, and debunks a lot of common myths and pop medical reports. Definitely not for the faint of heart (or faint of mind). But if you can swim through the math it will change the way you read headlines

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  • Chris P.
  • 20-03-2017

Authors personal Bias gets in the way

The author literally will explain how something is incorrect or should be doubted. Because it only had correlation and not causation. But he feels he can dispute it by claiming there are other correlations...

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  • Cliente Amazon
  • 03-02-2018

Payed twice

Would you try another book from Gary Smith and/or Tim Andres Pabon?

Interesting them and competent author.

Any additional comments?

The audio book has no companion. Amazon.com.br does not provide the kindle copy for Brazilian listeners, although its tax free benefits.

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  • RR
  • 27-05-2020

Really interesting

A great listen if you're into statistics. If you're British, there are many facepalm pronunciations - Southwark (south-walk) and Chiswick (Chiz-wick) that just make it that little bit challenging not to want to scratch inside your brain, but thankfully they don't fill too many chapters.