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Danger Zone

By: Hal Brands, Michael Beckley
Narrated by: Nancy Wu
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Publisher's Summary

It has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a "superpower marathon." Yet Hal Brands and Michael Beckley pose a counterintuitive question: What if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint?

The Sino-American contest is driven by clashing geopolitical interests and a stark ideological dispute over whether authoritarianism or democracy will dominate the twenty-first century. But both history and China's current trajectory suggest that this rivalry will reach its moment of maximum danger in the 2020s.

China is at a perilous moment: strong enough to violently challenge the existing order, yet losing confidence that time is on its side. Witness its aggression toward Taiwan, its record-breaking military buildup, and its efforts to dominate the critical technologies that will shape the world's future.

The Chinese challenge will most likely prove more manageable than many pessimists currently believe—but during the 2020s, the pace of Sino-American conflict will accelerate, and the prospect of war will be frighteningly real. America, Brands and Beckley argue, will still need a sustainable approach to winning a protracted global competition.

©2022 Hal Brands and Michael Beckley (P)2022 Tantor

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A pertinent read.


A really interesting perspective on the US, russia and obviously China conflict predominantly over the present decade. The book analyses the constraints and weaknesses in the Chinese communist system and the challenges it faces in its pursuit for at minimum regional supremacy. It also examines the challenges the US faces in curbing this, and offers useful recommendations in how to do so. The concepts of danger zone is helpful in understanding the way in which this conflict could play out and should be a consideration for all US allies and other regional players in how we manage the China situation. There is little room for error as China still has many strengths that it could use to capitalise. I really recommend this book if you’re interested in the state and future play for this present and looming conflict.

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