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S2SE1 - From Blunt Force to Scalpel: The Future of U.S. Tariffs

S2SE1 - From Blunt Force to Scalpel: The Future of U.S. Tariffs

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In this special episode of The Unseen War, the Seabrook Wessex Group's Director for Tariff Strategies, Frank Warren, cuts through the noise surrounding tariffs, the Supreme Court, and the future of U.S. trade policy. Contrary to headlines predicting either the end of tariffs or an escalation into something worse, this episode argues that neither outcome is likely.

Instead, Frank explains why a potential Supreme Court decision sustaining the U.S. Court of International Trade's ruling against the administration's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) would not eliminate tariffs—but fundamentally reshape them. Drawing on historical precedent, including the Reagan administration's use of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, he outlines why future tariffs are likely to become narrower, slower, and more predictable.

The episode reframes the current tariff regime as a shift from blunt force to surgical precision—and explains why that transition, while frustrating for policymakers, could be far more manageable for prepared businesses. For family-owned mid-market and lower-mid-market manufacturers already bearing the cost of tariffs, this episode offers both clarity and cautious hope—along with a clear call to prepare, not panic.

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