Doom Debates — Liron Shapira on AGI Timelines, Cascading Risks, and What to Do

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Doom Debates — Liron Shapira on AGI Timelines, Cascading Risks, and What to Do

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Hook: Liron Shapira cuts through the noise to explain why a capability threshold could cascade into existential danger and why uncertainty alone demands urgent action. This summary condenses a 3-hour Doom Debates Q&A into 6 minutes, spotlighting AI alignment, AGI timelines, and policy-ready strategies. Host Liron Shapira (guesting as the expert) lays out his candid estimate—20% chance of surviving to 2050—and explains how optimization can produce agent-like behavior, why defenders may not reliably beat attackers, and how reinforcement-trained agents and social-engineering campaigns raise near-term risks. Listeners will learn the mechanisms behind misgeneralization, practical political steps (movement-building, contacting representatives, supporting research), and which organizations and tactics amplify public pressure on AI regulation and safety. Keywords: AGI timelines, AI safety, AI alignment, AI regulation, existential risk, agents, capability threshold. Listen now to get the key ideas in minutes.

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